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Financialization: How Deficits Inflate Profits and Equity Valuations

Chronic fiscal deficits stimulate consumption and flow into corporate profits that are then recycled into price-indifferent passive funds, inflating market valuations.

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LATEST Insights

Why Hold Expensive Slow-Growing Stocks? An Alternative Framework for Value and Growth Indices

The dominant style index structure forces investors to hold the whole market, leading to diversification rather than diworsification. We propose a framework that removes expensive, slow-growing stocks and boosts performance.

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Latest Insights

Stop the Losses!

Stop losses help mitigate downside risk by limiting behavioral biases and reducing drawdowns and skewness for both alternative risk premia and trend-following strategies.

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Research Affiliates

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Research Affiliates is a global leader in smart beta and asset allocation strategies. Our goal is to provide educational insights that lead to better investor outcomes. robustness of CAPE.

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Featured Research & Insights

RACWI: Reinventing Cap-Weighted Indexing
Article

RACWI: Reinventing Cap-Weighted Indexing

By Rob Arnott, Lillian Wu
September 2025
False Choices, Real Costs: Structural Flaws in the Growth–Value Duality
Article

False Choices, Real Costs: Structural Flaws in the Growth–Value Duality

By Que Nguyen, Omid Shakernia
July 2025
Must Value Be Anti-Growth?
Article

Must Value Be Anti-Growth?

By Mario Albuquerque, Noah Beck, Que Nguyen
July 2025
Expand Your Mind and Your Commodity Universe
Article

Expand Your Mind and Your Commodity Universe

By Ben Chen, Jim Masturzo
July 2025
How Can “Smart Beta” Go Horribly Right?
Article

How Can “Smart Beta” Go Horribly Right?

By Noah Beck, Xi Liu, Que Nguyen
June 2025
Passive Aggressive: The Increasing Risks of Passive Dominance
Article

Passive Aggressive: The Increasing Risks of Passive Dominance

By Chris Brightman, Campbell Harvey, Forrest Henslee
June 2025
Stimulus Does Not Stimulate
Article

Stimulus Does Not Stimulate

By Rob Arnott, Alex Pickard
May 2025
Walking the Tightrope: Trend Following’s Tricky Tradeoffs
Article

Walking the Tightrope: Trend Following’s Tricky Tradeoffs

By Jim Masturzo
May 2025
Gold $5,000?
Article

Gold $5,000?

By Campbell Harvey
April 2025
Why Tariffs Won’t Solve Our Trade Problem
Article

Why Tariffs Won’t Solve Our Trade Problem

By Chris Brightman
April 2025
Small Caps, Big Opportunities: Investing Beyond Large-Cap Stocks
Article

Small Caps, Big Opportunities: Investing Beyond Large-Cap Stocks

By Mario Albuquerque, Xi Liu, Que Nguyen
April 2025
The AI Boom vs. the Dot-Com Bubble: Have We Seen This Movie Before?
Article

The AI Boom vs. the Dot-Com Bubble: Have We Seen This Movie Before?

By Rob Arnott, Trent Commins, Xi Liu
March 2025
The EV Shakeout
Article

The EV Shakeout

By Rob Arnott, Bradford Cornell, Forrest Henslee, Thomas Verghese
March 2025
Adventures of The OG Quant
Article

Adventures of The OG Quant

By Rob Arnott
February 2025
Current Constituents CAPE
Article

Current Constituents CAPE

By Trent Commins, Ted Hsu, Seanna Kim
February 2025
Trump 2.0: The Deregulation Agenda – No New Rules?
Article

Trump 2.0: The Deregulation Agenda – No New Rules?

By Que Nguyen
January 2025
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10 Years of Asset Allocation Interactive: Evaluating the Results of Conditional Return Expectations

By Brent Leadbetter, Jim Masturzo
January 2025
Asset Allocation Interactive at 10 Years: The Good, the Not Too Bad, and the Ugly
Article

Asset Allocation Interactive at 10 Years: The Good, the Not Too Bad, and the Ugly

By Jim Masturzo
January 2025
Capitalization-Weighted Indexes, RAFI, “Smart Beta,” and Factors (JPM Series)
Article

Capitalization-Weighted Indexes, RAFI, “Smart Beta,” and Factors (JPM Series)

By Rob Arnott
December 2024
The Greatest Scourge in Factorland: Revaluation Alpha = Fake Alpha (JPM Series)
Article

The Greatest Scourge in Factorland: Revaluation Alpha = Fake Alpha (JPM Series)

By Rob Arnott
December 2024
The Equity Risk Premium: Nine Myths (JPM Series)
Article

The Equity Risk Premium: Nine Myths (JPM Series)

By Rob Arnott
November 2024
The Efficient Market Hypothesis vs. Roaring Kitty (JPM Series)
Article

The Efficient Market Hypothesis vs. Roaring Kitty (JPM Series)

By Rob Arnott
November 2024
Past, Present, and Future of Modern Finance (JPM Series)
Article

Past, Present, and Future of Modern Finance (JPM Series)

By Rob Arnott
November 2024
Avoid the Index Rebalancing Crowd! Exploring the Effect of Deletions on Index Performance
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Avoid the Index Rebalancing Crowd! Exploring the Effect of Deletions on Index Performance

By Rob Arnott, Brent Leadbetter
October 2024
The Shifting Sands of Alternative Risk Premia Strategies
Article

The Shifting Sands of Alternative Risk Premia Strategies

By Jay Jeon, Jim Masturzo
October 2024
Illustration of immigrants on blue arrow
Article

Change Required: Immigration Reform is an Economic Necessity

By Chris Brightman, Alex Pickard
September 2024

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In the News

Bloomberg
Que Nguyen Examines the Latest Treasury Selloff
December 2025
Bloomberg
Que Nguyen Assesses Market Conditions and Where Investors Can Still Find Value
December 2025
Wall Street Journal
Rob Arnott Questions How Style Indexes Classify Stocks
December 2025
MarketWatch
Que Nguyen Outlines Emerging Divergence Inside the Magnificent Seven
November 2025
MarketWatch
Rob Arnott Flags Bubble Risks of Big Tech Valuations
November 2025
Fox Business
Rob Arnott Analyzes Tech Valuations Amid Growing Bubble Concerns
November 2025
Wall Street Journal
Research Affiliates’ Valuation Model Signals Headwinds for Overpriced Markets
November 2025
Financial Times
Que Nguyen Challenges the Idea That Market Concentration Equals Fragility
October 2025
Wall Street Journal
Rob Arnott Explains How to Navigate “Priced for Perfection” Markets
October 2025
Press Release
Research Affiliates Partners with Russell Investments to Launch Systematic Global Active Equity UCITS Fund
October 2025
Bloomberg
Que Nguyen Discusses Market Valuations and Emerging Opportunities
October 2025
MarketWatch
Research Affiliates on the Shifting Balance Between Active and Passive
October 2025
Bloomberg
Rob Arnott on Lessons from Past Bubbles
October 2025
Business Insider
Rob Arnott on Science, Curiosity, and Shaping Investing Innovation
September 2025
Bloomberg
Rob Arnott on Rethinking Passive Investing
September 2025
MarketWatch
Rob Arnott on AI, Valuations, and Market Reckonings
September 2025
Press Release
RAFI Indices Announces Launch of the Research Affiliates Cap-Weighted US ETF (RAUS)
September 2025
Forbes
Rob Arnott on AI Bubble Risks Echoing Dot-Com Era
August 2025
Bloomberg
Que Nguyen on Palantir, AI Craze, and Market Expectations
August 2025
Barron’s
Rob Arnott on Why CPI Understates Inflation for TIPS Investors
August 2025
The Economist
Rob Arnott on Why Fear, Not Risk, May Lead to Better Returns
August 2025
Bloomberg
Rob Arnott on Where To Find Market Bargains
July 2025
Financial Times
Rob Arnott on “Buying the Dip”
July 2025
Wall Street Journal
Rob Arnott’s Firm Says the Time Is Finally Right for ‘Smart Beta’
June 2025
Barron's
Chris Brightman on Building a Smarter Baby Fund Strategy
June 2025
Wall Street Journal
Chris Brightman on the Hidden Risks of Passive Investing
June 2025
Bloomberg
Rob Arnott on Stimulus Spending, Inflation, and Value Opportunities
May 2025
Bloomberg
Que Nguyen on Market Dynamics and Small-Cap Opportunities
May 2025

More In the News...
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Meet the RA Global Advisors (Europe) Ltd Team

Distribution

Shaun Patel
Shaun Patel
Partner, Head of Sales
Matt Lundberg
Matt Lundberg

Senior Associate, EMEA

Contact Us

Europe Team

+44 (0) 203 929 9880

uk@rallc.com

Press & Media

+44 (0) 7808 585 184

cvilliers@keplercomms.com

Address

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78 Pall Mall
London SW1Y 5ES
United Kingdom 

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